Polymarket Trader

prov123

0xf1439cec1e9714edb84a526af10bee2ef6d34ef2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.95K
Realized PnL: $51.87
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $288.31
Potential payout: $392.26
Potential profit: $103.95
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $38.31

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $236.33
Potential payout: $390.63
Potential profit: $154.3
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$13.67

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67.1%
Current value: $245.42
Potential payout: $366.03
Potential profit: $120.61
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $218.84
Potential payout: $361.73
Potential profit: $142.88
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$5.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $222.28
Potential payout: $315.29
Potential profit: $93.01
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$4.73

No position

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $162.45
Potential payout: $224.07
Potential profit: $61.62
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$3.36

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $178.46
Potential payout: $200.51
Potential profit: $22.06
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $10.03

No position

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $151.3
Potential payout: $187.95
Potential profit: $36.65
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$4.7

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $110.6
Potential payout: $170.15
Potential profit: $59.55
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$10.21

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $83.42
Potential payout: $158.89
Potential profit: $75.47
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $92.04
Potential payout: $132.46
Potential profit: $40.41
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $104.12
Potential payout: $121.78
Potential profit: $17.66
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $95.14
Potential payout: $120.43
Potential profit: $25.29
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $8.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $96.71
Potential payout: $111.16
Potential profit: $14.45
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $90.46
Potential payout: $106.43
Potential profit: $15.96
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.06

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $89.89
Potential payout: $101.57
Potential profit: $11.68
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $88.93
Potential payout: $100.82
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $88.92
Potential payout: $98.25
Potential profit: $9.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.49

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $82.78
Potential payout: $93.48
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $63.57
Potential payout: $92.8
Potential profit: $29.23
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$10.67

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.6%
Current value: $58.79
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $32.21
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$6.13

No position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $58.99
Potential payout: $77.62
Potential profit: $18.63
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $45.41
Potential payout: $60.95
Potential profit: $15.54
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $4.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.74

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $9.05

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24.2%
Multiplier: 4.14x
User PnL: -$80.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?

Yes 71.3% 91 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 82% 107.16 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 68% 132.46 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 72% 120.43 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97% 116.34 shares
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 88% 101.57 shares
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?

Yes 84% 106.43 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

No 91% 98.25 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 76% 116.34 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 91.8% 378.78 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 55.7% 158.89 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

No 84.1% 111.16 shares