No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.17K
- Potential profit
- $10.17K
- User PnL
- -$2.09K
Polymarket Trader
0xf15a1ec611A9155454C7619f1bD4b684fC054c09-1779572160084
0xf15a1ec611a9155454c7619f1bd4b684fc054c09
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $181.43
- Realized PnL
- $3.02K
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $181.43
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $20.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.22
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.44
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.09
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $16.61
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$32.86
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$114.02
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$142.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.5% 194 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 3,513.95 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 46.87 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.6% 50.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 4,285.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 51.9% 963.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 20% 5,088.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 24.9% 401.54 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 30.9% 1,944.82 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 82% 21.01 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes 59% 1,338.98 shares