No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.48
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Polymarket Trader
Caribosaurus-weather
0xf15d31cef6ea07ff94c9cac338bd1409a01b0c3b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.41
- Realized PnL
- -$1.44
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $36.15
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $6.28
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $4.72
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1?No 10% 4.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?No 35% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 1?No 31% 10 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on July 1?No 5.8% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 1?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 45% 11.11 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 1?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?Yes 78% 1.31 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 41% 22.72 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?No 51.2% 15.87 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 1?No 63% 15.87 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 2?No 44% 22.73 shares