No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $823.69
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $239.14
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $84.69
Polymarket Trader
Napoleon1988
0xf167e7b50781b956389205e570addc81191319a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $823.69
- Realized PnL
- $5.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.79
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.36
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.7
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.57
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.09
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.66
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.91
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.46
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.05
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.16
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.19
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.79
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.93
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.2
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.88
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.66
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.52
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.57
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.81
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.9
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.47
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.73
No position
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No 69.5% 1,062.83 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 739.76 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 95.9% 710.94 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 94.1% 768.59 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 92.3% 1,801.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 92% 1,801.81 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 1,029.93 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 89.9% 784 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?No 97% 515.73 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No 97.1% 1,029.94 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 72.1% 1,599.84 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 86% 959.11 shares