No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $696.96
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $755.03
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $133.28
Polymarket Trader
Le-bron
0xf17101255c04271ad62c28a7a6ae1e1e2ad2398d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21K
- Realized PnL
- -$131.96
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$112
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.3%
- Current value
- $162.31
- Potential payout
- $473.9
- Potential profit
- $311.59
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- $62.31
Yes position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.05
- Potential profit
- $421.05
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $257.51
- Potential payout
- $265.75
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $107.51
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$100.8
Yes position
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$8.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $30.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.54
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.88
Yes position
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
Ends Apr 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.09
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $66.39
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.81
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$120.97
No position
Pavel Durov released in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$852.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 34% 51.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 900 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 39% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96.5% 172.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 60% 100 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 21.1% 473.9 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 56.4% 265.75 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 58% 172.41 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 40% 250 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 93.8% 181.03 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No 99.7% 340.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 58% 181.03 shares