Polymarket Trader

0xf1853F921a0adB2d211Cc64C609Bb223eB4C30e3-1763631118235

0xf1853f921a0adb2d211cc64c609bb223eb4c30e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.7
Realized PnL: $10.44
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $37
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.3
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 27?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 20-21°F on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 2% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 35% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 13% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 20% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 11% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 17.5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 28% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 21% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 16% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 21% 40 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 26% 20 shares