No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.3%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $785.1
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$189.28
Polymarket Trader
happylifeman
@bmizc31412457
0xf19191b814d9ee30bc8c325850c6b254464079bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.06K
- Realized PnL
- $702.3
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $307.45
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.91
- Potential payout
- $426.69
- Potential profit
- $421.78
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$46.3
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $35.84
- Potential payout
- $325.82
- Potential profit
- $289.98
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$35.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $192.19
- Potential payout
- $192.58
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.81
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.09
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.73
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.48
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.32
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.17
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.97
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.76
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.41
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.43x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.94
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$51.61
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$96.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in June?No 99.7% 192.58 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 21% 1,430 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81.5% 1,057.67 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 21.8% 325.82 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 12% 426.69 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82.2% 2,248 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.9% 980.81 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 82% 536.61 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 81% 1,332.73 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 74% 996.49 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 94% 872.73 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 82% 872.73 shares