Polymarket Trader

robertu

@robertumuch

0xf195cccf43038803ca15a7d2d43b6008bb9e857c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.05
Realized PnL: $39.78
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.9

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$5

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.4%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 2.75x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $0.02

Spurs position

Warriors vs. Spurs

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $2.84
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.32

No position

Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.51

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.3%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 17.5% 5.71 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 5.21 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.5% 4.44 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 35.2% 2.84 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 82.8% 3.83 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 8.33 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 52.2% 3.83 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 13.89 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 81% 9.25 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 54% 9.26 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 39% 12.82 shares