CharizardStar

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $77.23
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $52.39
Potential payout: $55.74
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $24.49
Potential payout: $49.97
Potential profit: $25.49
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $11.42
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.58
Multiplier: 3.50x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $7.74
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.26
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $4.46
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.54
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $26.79
Potential payout: $31.33
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.24

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $22.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $16.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.01
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.59
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.85
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.3%
Current value: $2.44
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 6.15x
User PnL: -$0.21

Fajing Sun position

Cary: Fajing Sun vs Braden Shick

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 48.9%
Current value: $7.32
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 2.05x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.39
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.61
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.17

Wolves Esports position

Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Wolves Esports (BO1) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Play-In

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $40.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET