Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.43
- Potential profit
- $735.43
- User PnL
- -$16.99
Polymarket Trader
simospa
0xf1a5795411f7d2d1cdcf299cd9f2008cdabf132b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.9
- Realized PnL
- $571.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $693.17
- Potential profit
- $693.17
- User PnL
- -$41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $568.14
- Potential profit
- $568.14
- User PnL
- -$34.94
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.38
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
Makhmudov position
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.78
- Potential profit
- $214.78
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.37
- Potential profit
- $154.37
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.35
- Potential profit
- $139.35
- User PnL
- -$22.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $125.27
- Potential payout
- $125.84
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $75.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.18
- Potential profit
- $98.18
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.77
- Potential profit
- $77.77
- User PnL
- -$34.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.38
- Potential profit
- $64.38
- User PnL
- -$24.68
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.47
- Potential profit
- $63.47
- User PnL
- -$9.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.69
- Potential profit
- $60.69
- User PnL
- -$29.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $59
- User PnL
- -$13.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.32
- Potential profit
- $58.32
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.9
- Potential profit
- $55.9
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.76
- Potential profit
- $54.76
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.86
- Potential profit
- $52.86
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.92
- Potential profit
- $51.92
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.06
- Potential profit
- $51.06
- User PnL
- -$24
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.69
- Potential profit
- $50.69
- User PnL
- -$29.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.66
- Potential profit
- $50.66
- User PnL
- -$26.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.68
- Potential profit
- $49.68
- User PnL
- -$9.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
Jannik Sinner position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51
Yes position
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.39
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 46.9% 21.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?Yes 39.7% 125.84 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 17?Yes 48.5% 41.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16?Yes 37.7% 79.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15?Yes 32% 31.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?Yes 54.8% 109.76 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 51.6% 38.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?Yes 45.6% 109.76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?Yes 46.8% 42.77 shares