Bumza97

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $20.03
Potential profit: $18.92
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.3
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.12
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.58
Multiplier: 3.69x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will there be 2–3 North Korea tests in May 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.5%?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $15.62
Potential profit: $7.89
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $11.24
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$2.65

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Autopen" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Regarded" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Daddy" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.05

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

Yes position

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: January

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.84

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will Faker Win an International Title in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.9%?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US add at least 200k jobs in May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in May?