Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.8K
- Potential profit
- $61.8K
- User PnL
- -$900
Polymarket Trader
PolJim
0xf1b29b5ad60ca3243e383d83dc4c8eeec40fa321
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.74K
- Realized PnL
- $22.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.2K
- Potential profit
- $39.2K
- User PnL
- -$855.16
Yes position
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.65K
- Potential profit
- $33.65K
- User PnL
- -$403.88
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.16K
- Potential profit
- $30.16K
- User PnL
- -$923.42
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.76K
- Potential profit
- $29.76K
- User PnL
- -$296.59
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.1K
- Potential profit
- $16.1K
- User PnL
- -$32.39
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$814
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $11K
- User PnL
- -$517.73
Yes position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98K
- Potential profit
- $10.98K
- User PnL
- -$33.09
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $25.09
- Potential payout
- $10.03K
- Potential profit
- $10.01K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.58K
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62K
- Potential profit
- $9.62K
- User PnL
- -$374.69
Yes position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.73K
- Potential profit
- $8.73K
- User PnL
- -$339.7
Yes position
Will Solana reach $120 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.72K
- Potential profit
- $7.72K
- User PnL
- -$2.75K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.71K
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $787.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $187.5
Yes position
Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.02K
- User PnL
- -$7.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Solana reach $130 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $6.31K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.66K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- User PnL
- -$396.32
Yes position
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $5.2K
- User PnL
- -$331.89
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- User PnL
- -$52.25
No position
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$800
Yes position
Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$488.48
Yes position
Will Italy win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- User PnL
- -$238.87
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$2.78K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $942.78
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.31
No position
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.33
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.99
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750.14
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.99
No position
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $598.09
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $580.5
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.59
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $568.62
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.39
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 10?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.63
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.01
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $465.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 1,800 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 87% 7,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 7,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.9% 4,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.4% 6,962.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.5% 623.87 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.6% 5,672.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 14.4% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 77% 4,673.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.7% 2,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 98.7% 484.49 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 88.7% 1,033.71 shares