Polymarket Trader

AlanRice2950

0xf1b84f9fe736a182b049a3bb4d2cb3865efa84e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $4.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $572.26
Potential payout: $806
Potential profit: $233.74
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $56.42

No position

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $255.63
Potential payout: $629
Potential profit: $373.37
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $129.83

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $167.05
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $157.95
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $31.05
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $41.8
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$12.99

No position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $5.6
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $811.1

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $301.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.22

No position

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $205.97

No position

Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.76

No position

Will Jensen Huang say "FSD" or "Full Self-Driving" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.36

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 21, 3PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.88

Yes position

Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.02

Yes position

Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-05?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.47

Yes position

Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: $137.25

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.32

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.1

Yes position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $110.33

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $98.84

No position

Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Super Bowl?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.64

Yes position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $77.97

Yes position

Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.48

Yes position

Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $73.05

SpaceX position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.76

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 70 and 80?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.69

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $52.08

Yes position

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $49.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes 52.2% 8 shares
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?

No 40% 861 shares
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 23% 779 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 65% 1,103 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 66% 10 shares
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 82% 32 shares
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

No 24% 779 shares
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

No 67% 1,113 shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

No 74% 170 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 29% 327 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 28% 49 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

No 28% 51 shares