Polymarket Trader

cecilio

0xf1c9c59c090768a678701f12668f602682bebc00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.26
Realized PnL: $1.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.93
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$20.93

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $25.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $24.75
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$8.75

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $44.37
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$10.37

Yes position

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $29.4
Potential profit: $28.09
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$14.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Guardians win the AL Central Division?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.98

No position

Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.04

No position

Bitcoin above $124000 on August 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.24

Murphy position

UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.98

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.32

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

Yes position

Ethereum above $4200 on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87

Sterling position

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Sterling

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Volkov position

Volkov vs. Almeida

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Dodgers position

Dodgers vs. Blue Jays

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Uros Medic position

UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Murzakanov position

Rakic vs. Murzakanov

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Cub Swanson position

UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Joe Pyfer position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.55

Lance Gibson Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

del Valle position

Dulgarian vs. del Valle

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Wells position

Wells vs. Gorimbo

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Max Holloway 67% 100 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 60% 34 shares
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)

Dom Mar Fan 36% 10 shares
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Colby Thicknesse 57% 10 shares
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Jack Della Maddalena 48% 10 shares
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Jirí Procházka 50% 19.4 shares
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)

Cub Swanson 55% 19.46 shares
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)

Patricio Pitbull 33% 19.2 shares
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)

Randy Brown 50% 19.4 shares
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Joe Pyfer 43% 15 shares
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Lance Gibson Jr. 30% 10 shares
UFC Fight Night: Casey O'Neill vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)

Gabriella Fernandes 50% 30 shares