ReubenToro

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $863.01
Potential profit: $861.28
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.73

Yes position

Will John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $532.97
Potential profit: $531.9
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Amie Baca-Oehlert be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $382.53
Potential profit: $380.24
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$6.08

Yes position

James Collier announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $363.52
Potential profit: $363.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $203.47
Potential profit: $203.16
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $77.22
Potential payout: $156
Potential profit: $78.78
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Mike Sacks be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $146.55
Potential profit: $146.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $125.2
Potential profit: $121.69
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$14.02

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 6.6%
Current value: $7.36
Potential payout: $112.4
Potential profit: $105.04
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $93.13
Potential payout: $107.05
Potential profit: $13.92
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will Jessica Reinmann be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $106.58
Potential profit: $106.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will John Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $92.95
Potential profit: $92.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $66.86
Potential profit: $58.57
Multiplier: 8.06x
User PnL: -$6.91

Yes position

Will Dave Young be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $60.81
Potential profit: $60.66
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Peter Chatzky be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Implied probability: 89.9%
Current value: $40.43
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $4.57
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $39.27
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $7.18
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.82
Multiplier: 5.57x
User PnL: -$4.58

Yes position

Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $29.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.52
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 27.1%
Current value: $9.95
Potential payout: $36.72
Potential profit: $26.77
Multiplier: 3.69x
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $16.78
Potential payout: $35.32
Potential profit: $18.54
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $7.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.68

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Mohamed Salah: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Omar Marmoush: 3+ goals

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

ODDIK position

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will "Giant" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Haiti to win the second half?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Over position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Cody Gakpo: 3+ goals

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?