Kings position
Kings vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $580.35
- Potential profit
- $580.35
- User PnL
- -$249.55
Polymarket Trader
umads
0xf1cf135fa0b73271b75885b6da4a93438536324b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.6
- Realized PnL
- $526.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Commanders position
Commanders vs. Vikings
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.45
- Potential profit
- $292.45
- User PnL
- -$155
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $52.6
- Potential payout
- $53.43
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Wild position
Wild vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.23
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will André Ventura win the second round?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 1?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 45,633 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No 99.2% 53.43 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.6% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 6?No 99.3% 5.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 76°F or higher on May 6?No 98.9% 6.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 6?No 99.8% 5.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on May 6?No 99.8% 4.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 6?No 97.1% 3.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 6?No 98.8% 4.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 6?No 99.6% 4.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?No 99.9% 4.14 shares