Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8K
Polymarket Trader
ocelot-204
0xf1d77c5785eee537d4665db8b0378026c9760808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $16.54K
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
Yes position
US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?
Ends Aug 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129
Yes position
US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?
Ends Aug 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.76
Yes position
Will Trump and Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.41
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.4
No position
Kamala Harris and JD Vance debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.03
Yes position
Democratic ticket: Female President + Male VP?
Ends Jul 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Will Kamala drop out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Trump and Harris agree to Fox News debate?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
2024 July hottest on record?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.7
No position
Fed rate cut by September 18?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$228.99
No position
2024 August hottest on record?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$403.42
Yes position
August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$516.09
Yes position
August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$538.09
Yes position
August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.83K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 45.2% 6,500 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 40.8% 3,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 39.8% 500 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 39.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 39.6% 2,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 39.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 33.9% 15,000 shares
- September temperature increase by between 1.17-1.22°C?Yes 0.8% 85.74 shares
- August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?Yes 72.2% 991.99 shares
- August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?Yes 18.6% 420 shares
- August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C?Yes 61.2% 1,821 shares
- August temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29°C?Yes 37.7% 2,463.6 shares