Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $224.43
- Potential payout
- $568.18
- Potential profit
- $343.75
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Polymarket Trader
0xf1DD830D37C8f6dF45538a2F8C944481ef42FF2D-1730750488854
0xf1dd830d37c8f6df45538a2f8c944481ef42ff2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $530.31
- Realized PnL
- $590.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.15
- Potential profit
- $303.15
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267.86
- Potential profit
- $267.86
- User PnL
- -$75
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $13.56
- Potential payout
- $208.57
- Potential profit
- $195.01
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$59.44
Yes position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $50.78
- Potential payout
- $142.05
- Potential profit
- $91.26
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $80.65
- Potential profit
- $56.05
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $39.62
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $37.31
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $25.36
- Potential payout
- $73.53
- Potential profit
- $48.17
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $70.18
- Potential payout
- $70.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $30.18
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $49.65
- Potential payout
- $69.44
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.14
- Potential payout
- $32.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.14
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.62
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.61
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 32.14 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 57% 70.18 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 80.65 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes 52% 76.92 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes 72% 69.44 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 34% 73.53 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.2% 142.05 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33% 227.27 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 28% 267.86 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 44% 340.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 35% 208.57 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes 25% 150 shares