Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $16.15K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $83.85K
- Multiplier
- 6.19x
- User PnL
- -$33.85K
Polymarket Trader
Outsid3rTrading
0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $275.43K
- Realized PnL
- $182.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $83.85K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $16.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $33.85K
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $98.45K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $49.93K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- $44.85K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.5K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$99.76
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.09K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $17.91K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $15.91K
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $88
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.28K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.48K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.15K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $549
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$149.99
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $665
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$195
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.56K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $4.95K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $5.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $9.91K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- $2.31K
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $9.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.06K
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$147.94
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Current value
- $3.22K
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $5.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $28.85
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $5.32K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $5.12K
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $959.87
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $27.98
Algeria position
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$3.72K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $922.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $662.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.34K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$182.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cavs position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.08K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.7K
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14K
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5K
Suns position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Knicks
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.46K
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1K
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79K
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
Thunder position
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pelicans
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1K
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Lakers
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Allen position
Allen vs. de Ridder
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Raptors
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Warriors position
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.52K
No position
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
No position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
Magic position
Magic vs. Timberwolves
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 98% 20,000 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes 51% 5,000 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 83.9% 1,075.14 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 82.3 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.5% 3,547.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 3.8% 20,000 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 76% 230.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes 9% 7,854.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 15% 2,018.02 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 13.1% 402.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 13% 710 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 14.2% 1,198.49 shares