Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $66.63
- Potential payout
- $325
- Potential profit
- $258.38
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Polymarket Trader
runnin
0xf1f1431412b49e16916e7c95b1551564b94c2d5f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.23K
- Realized PnL
- $5.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $223.25
- Potential payout
- $316.67
- Potential profit
- $93.42
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $126.53
- Potential payout
- $290.86
- Potential profit
- $164.34
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$108.47
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $125.61
- Potential payout
- $230.49
- Potential profit
- $104.87
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $205.42
- Potential payout
- $210.36
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $201.94
- Potential payout
- $205.01
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $199.09
- Potential payout
- $204.41
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $200.46
- Potential payout
- $201.98
- Potential profit
- $1.51
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $175.58
- Potential payout
- $197.28
- Potential profit
- $21.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $25.58
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $148.57
- Potential profit
- $138.84
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$16.27
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $123.73
- Potential payout
- $126.58
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $23.73
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $17.06
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $107.94
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $12.96
- Potential payout
- $112.68
- Potential profit
- $99.72
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$67.04
No position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $93.82
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $18.54
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
Yes position
Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $111.78
- Potential profit
- $110.72
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $102.81
- Potential payout
- $107.43
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Y
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $98.31
- Potential payout
- $98.9
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- $8.31
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $38.43
- Potential payout
- $92.59
- Potential profit
- $54.17
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $13.43
No position
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $22.5
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $34.2
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $43.44
- Potential payout
- $87.77
- Potential profit
- $44.32
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $69.36
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $4.36
Y
Yes position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $20.28
- Potential payout
- $68.75
- Potential profit
- $48.47
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $739.38
Texas Longhorns position
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougars
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
Florida Gators position
Spread: Florida Gators (-35.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520
Over position
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.99
No position
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Yes position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.67
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.85
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.91
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.08
No position
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.92
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.58
Blue Jays position
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Series Winner
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.79
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.1
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.11
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.41
No position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.59
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.97
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.51
No position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.68
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Warriors
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.36
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Raptors
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.99
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Hornets
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
Under position
Liverpool vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.21
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by June 30?Yes 9% 66.67 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?No 97.5% 210.36 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?No 51.3% 87.77 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?No 99% 201.98 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by June 30?No 97.8% 204.41 shares
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?No 97.6% 35.85 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes 14% 35.71 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?Yes 29.1% 68.75 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.5% 148.57 shares
- AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No 80.6% 51.63 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16% 125 shares