Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
Polymarket Trader
ariellejohnathan6760
0xf1f4dd4dd3c9e3485c127bbbb1df05b6ba4f7f7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $57.01
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.6
N
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.19
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.16
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.6
N
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 10 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 146 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 13 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 192 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 152 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 152 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.3% 180 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 88.7% 193 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.4% 180 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.7% 181 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94.2% 181 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 42% 46 shares