Polymarket Trader

kamikazetrading

@gomarcano9

0xf1f81d40ae910099e1a65addb54942e76ca0f4cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.68K
Realized PnL: $7.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $703.8
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $2.9K
Potential payout: $3.6K
Potential profit: $703.8
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $984.49
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $819.4
Potential profit: $819.4
User PnL: -$34.26

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.01
Potential profit: $600.01
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $579.72
Potential profit: $579.72
User PnL: -$35.33

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.13
Potential profit: $550.13
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $543.69
Potential profit: $543.69
User PnL: -$3.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $499.95
Potential profit: $492.2
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $412.86
Potential profit: $412.86
User PnL: -$13.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.99
Potential profit: $404.99
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $374.6
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $367.74
Potential profit: $367.74
User PnL: -$2.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $320
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.63
Potential profit: $316.63
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.12
Potential profit: $287.12
User PnL: -$7.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $622.63

Yes position

Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $561.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $438.2

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $399.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.73

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $297.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.56

Trump position

Who will win young men?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.6

Harris position

Who will win young men?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $208.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 59°F or higher on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 35-36°F on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $196.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be 63°F or higher on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Yes 40% 12.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Yes 42% 19.72 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 16?

Yes 38.1% 71.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?

Yes 1% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Yes 2.7% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?

Yes 85% 30 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Yes 8.5% 25 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 46 shares
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 54% 12 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 335.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13?

Yes 0.3% 515.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13?

Yes 1% 100 shares