No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $47.32
- Potential payout
- $47.92
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Polymarket Trader
Portlandc
0xf1fd24de88ce0fc94722bded6ebc4c7b198a2535
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.32
- Realized PnL
- $27.8
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.4
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.02
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96% 47.92 shares
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes 59% 50.85 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.9% 28.04 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82% 28.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.7% 26.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 96% 26.04 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 96.9% 25.61 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 97.6% 25.61 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 25.74 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 25.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 26.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 26.88 shares