Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $515.7
- Potential profit
- $515.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$192.13
Polymarket Trader
4fee-s3
0xf2252e4aa8386e26cae9a778c9b9ec41fcedcc69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $342.22
- Realized PnL
- $3.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.4%
- Current value
- $141.37
- Potential payout
- $192.6
- Potential profit
- $51.23
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $81.74
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.94
- Potential profit
- $178.94
- User PnL
- -$4.23
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.94
- Potential profit
- $156.94
- User PnL
- -$66.37
No position
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $153.6
- Potential profit
- $151.91
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$26.45
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $147.75
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.33
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.24
- Potential profit
- $144.24
- User PnL
- -$10.12
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.43
- Potential profit
- $128.43
- User PnL
- -$7.01
No position
Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.37
- Potential profit
- $124.37
- User PnL
- -$52.59
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $109.74
- Potential profit
- $99.32
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.82
No position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.33
- Potential profit
- $104.33
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $102.5
- Potential profit
- $100.25
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$11.49
Yes position
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.65
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Turkey sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.7
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $41.88
- Potential payout
- $98.54
- Potential profit
- $56.66
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $5.87
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $87.34
- Potential payout
- $96.56
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $93.37
- Potential profit
- $90.48
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.88
- Potential profit
- $91.88
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Yes position
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $88.67
- Potential profit
- $85.97
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.32
- Potential profit
- $88.32
- User PnL
- -$5.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.88
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $232.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.15
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $192.18
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $173.93
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.76x
- User PnL
- $166.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.91
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.92
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.16
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 96% 51.56 shares
- Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Yes 98.9% 20.02 shares
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 88.6% 52.47 shares
- Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?No 66% 5.38 shares
- Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 76.8% 24.27 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 90% 26.39 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?No 63% 10.79 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 58.2% 33.55 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 90% 15.33 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 75.3% 5.25 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 82% 35.01 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?No 82.4% 35.9 shares