Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Polymarket Trader
FM78
0xf22f737303fd20043ca0cea93213dc715c27a2a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.95
- Realized PnL
- $207.88
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $167.95
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $117.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$22.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $419.7
- Potential profit
- $419.7
- User PnL
- -$34.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $387.96
- Potential profit
- $387.96
- User PnL
- -$39.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.43
- Potential profit
- $381.43
- User PnL
- -$10.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.73
- Potential profit
- $369.73
- User PnL
- -$24.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $279.41
- Potential profit
- $279.41
- User PnL
- -$15.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.31
- Potential profit
- $249.31
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.57
- Potential profit
- $224.57
- User PnL
- -$6.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196.94
- Potential profit
- $196.94
- User PnL
- -$16.92
Yes position
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.7
- Potential profit
- $127.7
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.42
- Potential profit
- $82.42
- User PnL
- -$22.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.25
- Potential profit
- $81.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77.17
- Potential profit
- $77.17
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.71
- Potential profit
- $74.71
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.82
- Potential profit
- $70.82
- User PnL
- -$16.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.89
- Potential profit
- $68.89
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Yes position
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.98
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- User PnL
- -$2
Under position
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.28
- Potential profit
- $34.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.13
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.82
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $9.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$6.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp 10% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETUp 16% 31.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETDown 6% 83.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETDown 2% 250 shares
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 526.31 shares
- Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 1,105.08 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.8% 1,000 shares
- Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 1.1% 282.64 shares
- Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?Yes 0.3% 427.97 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 5.7% 344.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 12% 50.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp 60% 15.71 shares