No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.34K
- Potential profit
- $7.34K
- User PnL
- -$838.98
Polymarket Trader
Steveohm
0xf230b7858a12dd308b8c498d90ff925fd751bbfb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.58K
- Realized PnL
- $3.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $698.04
- Potential payout
- $719.99
- Potential profit
- $21.96
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.84
No position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $658
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $601.15
- Potential payout
- $625.55
- Potential profit
- $24.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $26.9
Yes position
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $378
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $94
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $310.75
- Potential payout
- $320.86
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $10.75
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $85.5
No position
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $206.7
- Potential payout
- $213.98
- Potential profit
- $7.28
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $191
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $13
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $167
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $193.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $23.8
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $192.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $197.83
- Potential payout
- $198.33
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $7.83
No position
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $127.86
- Potential payout
- $136.74
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $109.07
- Potential payout
- $117.85
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $97.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.95
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $87.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $93.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.86
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586.94
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $502.91
Yes position
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.09
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $80.04
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.67
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $43.1
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.49
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.68
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 91% 2,000 shares
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No 93% 765.61 shares
- Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 98.3% 560 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.9% 1,594.33 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 12,817.93 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 93.5% 320.86 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 45% 400 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 76% 8.5 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 85% 30 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 70% 5 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 53% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 57% 499.99 shares