Polymarket Trader

fedparodi

0xf23d6935eed2a8e52899342c1195f19471efb77a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: -$1.42K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Starmer out before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.44K
Potential profit: $43.44K
User PnL: -$2.1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$105

Yes position

Starmer out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.65K
Potential profit: $11.65K
User PnL: -$1.76K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.41K
Potential profit: $11.41K
User PnL: -$888.84

No position

Ethereum above $2,600 on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $11K
User PnL: -$206.82

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$550

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $7.9K
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$240

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.6K
Potential profit: $7.6K
User PnL: -$878.07

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$360

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down in Q2?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.1K
User PnL: -$316.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7K
Potential profit: $3.7K
User PnL: -$114.5

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$305.2

Yes position

Will Trump jail Fauci?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$53.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $34.14
Potential payout: $252.85
Potential profit: $218.72
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $12.39
Potential payout: $243.52
Potential profit: $231.12
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$7.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $608

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$132

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$178.75

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$650

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.73K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?

Yes 0.1% 599.99 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Yes 0.2% 1,499.99 shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 3,499.95 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 6% 9,000 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 2% 1,500 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 1,000 shares
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?

Yes 0.2% 248 shares
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?

Yes 0.2% 1,401 shares
Starmer out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 5,175 shares
Starmer out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
Starmer out in 2025?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Starmer out in 2025?

Yes 0.5% 57 shares