Polymarket Trader

0xf24f1Cf27B273daaDEfD5D363A4E7f93454e80e3-1763849675002

0xf24f1cf27b273daadefd5d363a4e7f93454e80e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.14
Realized PnL: $405.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.13
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $179.37
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $168.73
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.03
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.18
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.63
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.93
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.64
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $139.51
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $129.16
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.74
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $112.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $98.76
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.85
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.91

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.6

Yes position

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $33.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.52

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.3

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.8%
Multiplier: 4.21x
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.95

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.38

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.11

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.15

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 0.3% 350 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Yes 22% 10 shares
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

No 15% 20 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 20 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 4% 40 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes 2.1% 40 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 10% 25 shares
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 3.4% 40 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 2% 74.98 shares
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 16% 20 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 20 shares