Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xf257Abb1F801E94F1f56A7cA91b2294ccd6d9420-1775337067565
0xf257abb1f801e94f1f56a7ca91b2294ccd6d9420
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $632.93
- Realized PnL
- -$3.38K
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $334
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $104
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $298.93
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $35.07
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.35
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243.04
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.93
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.07
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$192.3
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$207.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 90% 334 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 87.6% 617.44 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 90% 235 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 89.9% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 90% 89.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 90% 282.45 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 10% 480 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 35% 500 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 76.6% 5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77.5% 307.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 865.89 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 1.3% 6,999.99 shares