No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $21.86
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $6.36
Polymarket Trader
0xf265...b3a9
0xf265e00a6fe462f88acab7e8f158520a250ab3a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $68.31
- Realized PnL
- -$9.36
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $28.37
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $2.64
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.58
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.81
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.81
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.97
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $8.49
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.2% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 85% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 84% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.5% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 7.8% 13 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 92.2% 21 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?No 74.2% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 89.3% 7 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 10.8% 18 shares