Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $79.74
Polymarket Trader
AnonymousDragon
0xf26c5c8e24a02858339d9d817458b08861fbebe5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.19K
- Realized PnL
- $6.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $381.15
- Potential payout
- $605
- Potential profit
- $223.85
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $30.25
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $505.73
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $44.27
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $442.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $314.99
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $185
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $41.67
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $373.87
- Potential payout
- $418.2
- Potential profit
- $44.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $173.87
Yes position
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $258.39
- Potential payout
- $319
- Potential profit
- $60.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $71.38
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $114
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $186
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $112.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $85.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $214.53
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$8.53
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $35.88
- Potential payout
- $233
- Potential profit
- $197.12
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- -$19.81
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $139.65
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $70.35
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $181
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $89.34
- Potential payout
- $92.2
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $46.49
No position
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $47.95
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $21.05
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $3.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $914.81
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $664.88
No position
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.88
No position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.11
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.1
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.12
Manziel position
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.87
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.72
No position
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.61
Yes position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.4
Yes position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98
No position
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.75
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.18
Yes position
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.71
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.4
Yes position
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.56
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 76% 1,700 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 80.44 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 59% 700 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 57% 1,114.16 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 555.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 277.78 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 35.6% 280.83 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes 66.7% 125.13 shares
- Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?Yes 79.9% 125.14 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 47.8% 418.2 shares
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 23.9% 233 shares
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 88% 500 shares