Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $174.01
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$21
Polymarket Trader
33Lysander-Fothergill
0xf26e9b929e6a007f25366d5b5997f4f7e027cf82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $607.96
- Realized PnL
- $744.32
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $219.45
- Potential payout
- $300.01
- Potential profit
- $80.55
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $214.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $315
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $208.12
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $97.52
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $40.48
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $21.18
Yes position
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.66
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.9%
- Multiplier
- 3.72x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$5.9
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$14.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 74% 207.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 74% 54.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 74% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 74% 1,320 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 5.1% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 15% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 82% 230.27 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?Down 20% 325.32 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?Down 26% 500 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?Down 27% 500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 30.7% 500 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 83% 2,312.41 shares