Polymarket Trader

Stannis-Baratheon

0xf27ebaecbe53f348e7a9b12947501139f101b03f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.4
Realized PnL: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $190.4
Potential payout: $396.67
Potential profit: $206.27
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $25.8

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$4.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.6
Potential profit: $198.6
User PnL: -$46.68

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.65
Potential profit: $102.65
User PnL: -$93.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.18
Potential profit: $99.18
User PnL: -$29.27

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.4

Up position

XRP Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.4

Up position

XRP Up or Down on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.5

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Up position

XRP Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$0.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: -$0.72

Up position

XRP Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Solana Up or Down on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Up position

XRP Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

No 30% 16.67 shares
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

No 42% 50 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 333 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 13 shares
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 0.6% 1,000 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 10 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 310 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8PM ET

Down 50% 4.84 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 7PM ET

Down 50% 4.84 shares
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 7PM ET

Up 50% 4.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7PM ET

Down 50% 4.84 shares
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 6PM ET

Down 50% 4.84 shares