Polymarket Trader

marki01

0xf28fe54027fb3ef6a27b3989d360f002796a841a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $416.52
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.38K
Potential profit: $52.38K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.26K
Potential profit: $52.26K
User PnL: -$99.98

Yes position

Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$542.42

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $890.05
Potential profit: $890.05
User PnL: -$90.45

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$24.8

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $127.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $172.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.53
Potential profit: $237.53
User PnL: -$100

No position

Claude 4.8 released by May 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.86
Potential profit: $232.86
User PnL: -$41.91

Yes position

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $224.87
Potential payout: $226
Potential profit: $1.13
User PnL: $17.71

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $46.66
Potential payout: $217
Potential profit: $170.35
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$60.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.34
Potential profit: $208.34
User PnL: -$131.41

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.93

No position

Will Momentum win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.32
Potential profit: $138.32
User PnL: -$17.98

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $105
User PnL: -$31.4

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $17.42
Potential payout: $99.57
Potential profit: $82.15
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.9
Potential profit: $44.9
User PnL: -$34.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.85

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.06

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.9

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

No position

Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.71

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.85

Yes position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.22

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $23.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Yes position

Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.43

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.42

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 90% 50 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 92% 119 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 92% 33 shares
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Yes 93% 24 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 39% 300 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 133.79 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 55.33 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 80.5% 28.81 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 69% 28.99 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 66.4% 7.73 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 66.3% 16 shares
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 65.8% 5 shares