Polymarket Trader

doil

@kakao99144165

0xf294919e16868d927b0247891543b9187d6e7967

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.64K
Realized PnL: $8.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $341.71
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $500.22
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$10.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $501.98
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$136.32

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $248.26
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.6%
Current value: $320.37
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 4.24x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $7.51
User PnL: $76.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $21.6
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $221.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $978.62
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $76.23
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $960.88
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$29.4

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $955.01
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $972.98
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$8

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $289
Potential payout: $850.01
Potential profit: $561.01
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$58.07

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $36.54
Potential payout: $842
Potential profit: $805.46
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$6.4

No position

Trump on $250 bill this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $732
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $68
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $561.3
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.4%
Current value: $436.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $63.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$11.38

Yes position

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $481.53
Potential profit: $460.64
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$37.2

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $26.86
Potential payout: $447.61
Potential profit: $420.75
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $401.83
Potential payout: $424.55
Potential profit: $22.71
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.89

Yes position

Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $347.37
Potential payout: $411.09
Potential profit: $63.72
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $10.6

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.74
Potential payout: $356.49
Potential profit: $329.75
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$16.26

Yes position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $12.12
Potential payout: $327.6
Potential profit: $315.48
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $313.59
Potential profit: $310.61
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $289.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.3

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $837

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $610.34

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $530.06

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $481.25

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $381.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.09

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $310.39

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $253.04

Jannik Sinner position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.04

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $244.99

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $236.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $235.61

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $232.68

Yes position

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $226.22

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.74

Yes position

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $177.11

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.99

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $160.79

No position

Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.41

Alexander Zverev position

BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.51

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.75

Jessica Pegula position

Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $142.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.7% 203.38 shares
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 60.82 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

No 51% 231.23 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

No 50% 300 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 97.6% 20 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score

No 58% 499.98 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.2% 153.42 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 2.4% 15.38 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 900 shares
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 10.8% 17.64 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 6.2% 83.24 shares
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 6.5% 18 shares