Polymarket Trader

PacalHarcos

0xf2a6fbc3a05c7457191a49366bd3f980af4d24b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $639.5
Realized PnL: $768.91
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $984.3
Potential profit: $984.3
User PnL: -$56.86

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $768.28
Potential profit: $768.28
User PnL: -$194.87

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $242.71
Potential payout: $500.44
Potential profit: $257.73
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $11.14

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $132.49
Potential payout: $481.77
Potential profit: $349.28
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $32.49

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $300
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $310
User PnL: -$70.3

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $51.2
Potential payout: $262.57
Potential profit: $211.37
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $5.86

Yes position

Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $48.41
Potential payout: $104.12
Potential profit: $55.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $50.64
Potential payout: $99.3
Potential profit: $48.66
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $10.92

Yes position

Will Russia enter Borova by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $69.48
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$10.44

Yes position

Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $11.52
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $20.48
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $28.3
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.34

Yes position

Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.89

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.89

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.09

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will Russia enter Huliaipole by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?

Yes 39% 32 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 41% 77 shares
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Yes 27% 150 shares
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?

Yes 43.2% 104.12 shares
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?

Yes 16.9% 238.76 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?

Yes 47.2% 423.44 shares
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

Yes 20.8% 481.77 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 28.3 shares
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Yes 27.2% 30 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 200 shares
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?

Yes 15% 90 shares
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 200 shares