Polymarket Trader

flameron

@jose__mmm

0xf2ab1d55462e3417a4c6e91affbe787d9c3a97a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.66K
Realized PnL: $7.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.91K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$1.91K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Current value: $4.91K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $500
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $65

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $25.99
User PnL: $73.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: $46.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.05K
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $320.63
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $141.01

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $2.43K
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $172.91
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $13.37

No position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $142.99
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $13.21

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $63.32
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $41.82

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: $14.61

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $369
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.99K
User PnL: -$1.84K

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $153
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $8.25
User PnL: $11.25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.49K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $53.43
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$9.26

No position

Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $989.49
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $23.5

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $919.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $80
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $10

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $985.88
Potential payout: $989.84
Potential profit: $3.96
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $793.6
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $6.4
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Blues position

Blues vs. Sabres

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $645.65

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $609.7

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.28

Knicks position

Timberwolves vs. Knicks

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500

Rockets position

Spurs vs. Rockets

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392

Devils position

Penguins vs. Devils

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.88

Heat position

Thunder vs. Heat

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.78

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.78

Panthers position

Stars vs. Panthers

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.07

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $324.93

Suns position

Suns vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.96

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.39

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.03

Hawks position

Suns vs. Hawks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.39

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.18

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.61

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.12

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $229.07

Devils position

Kraken vs. Devils

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.32

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.9%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $217.05

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.46

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Pelicans

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.39

Nuggets position

Nets vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.29

Jazz position

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.6% 1,000 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 1,424.89 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81.6% 1,000 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.4% 1,318.48 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

No 98.7% 500 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

No 98.7% 1,000 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 73.9% 354.2 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 95.3% 600 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 95.1% 600 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 91% 1,285.29 shares
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

No 94% 1,000 shares