Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $166.75
- Potential payout
- $555.84
- Potential profit
- $389.09
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.24
Polymarket Trader
0xf2b3...47b6
0xf2b38a7c4ae40ccd6a22af3ed042321ad5af47b6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $430.61
- Realized PnL
- $248.22
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $212.02
- Potential profit
- $209.9
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.88
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $202.04
- Potential profit
- $194.89
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $30.1
- Potential payout
- $113.59
- Potential profit
- $83.49
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$5.89
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.6
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $99.04
- Potential profit
- $96.02
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$23.72
No position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $29.26
- Potential payout
- $81.27
- Potential profit
- $52.02
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $50.58
- Potential payout
- $70.25
- Potential profit
- $19.67
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $11.82
No position
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $61.61
- Potential payout
- $64.52
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $41.17
- Potential payout
- $46.26
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $33.3
- Potential payout
- $40.87
- Potential profit
- $7.57
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.61
N
No position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $26.31
- Potential profit
- $24.6
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Current value
- $2.22
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $8.49
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $2.74
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $133.32
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $17.54
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.89
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $4.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Curaçao position
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 17.4% 96.34 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 44% 25.06 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 3% 377.17 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 63% 25.06 shares
- Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 47% 64.95 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 0.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 9.15 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 9.15 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?No 92% 46.26 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 3.12 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 88% 8.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 62.5 shares