rozonic0

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $8.03K
Potential profit: $8.03K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.89
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.46
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.14
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.54
Potential profit: $2.54
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $1.52
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.62
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $0.87
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11?