Polymarket Trader

0xf2c4314532558e7c810fFBD46F0B2dB0AbdF92d3-1760340499055

0xf2c4314532558e7c810ffbd46f0b2db0abdf92d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $398.42
Realized PnL: $11.4
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $370.61
Potential payout: $451.97
Potential profit: $81.35
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $20.66

Yes position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.76
Potential profit: $119.76
User PnL: -$115.43

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $25.88
Potential payout: $110.12
Potential profit: $84.24
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.77
Potential profit: $80.77
User PnL: -$29.56

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.57
Potential profit: $23.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.06
Potential profit: $19.06
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.93
Potential profit: $7.93
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $6.84
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2025-11-18?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04
Potential profit: $3.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

No position

Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Booking Holdings (BKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No 8% 50 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No 8% 12.5 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 76% 2.82 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 72% 41.67 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 7.93 shares
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 81.7% 121.35 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 99.9% 88.05 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 89.7% 88.06 shares