Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.28K
- Potential profit
- $92.28K
- User PnL
- -$348.92
Polymarket Trader
0xF2c8Fcf8800E99d6D6e9477c41a694D31400Ba2f-1768489178040
0xf2c8fcf8800e99d6d6e9477c41a694d31400ba2f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.84
- Realized PnL
- $3.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71K
- Potential profit
- $14.71K
- User PnL
- -$371.96
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.98K
- Potential profit
- $10.98K
- User PnL
- -$11.94
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.07K
- Potential profit
- $4.07K
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.75K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- User PnL
- -$599.99
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $503.33
- Potential profit
- $502.08
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $333.98
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $82.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $267.75
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $39.1
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $300.9
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$11.9
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.86
- Potential profit
- $202.86
- User PnL
- -$142
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $196.08
- Potential profit
- $195.59
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.51
Yes position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.82
- Potential profit
- $153.82
- User PnL
- -$77
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.53
- Potential profit
- $95.53
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $83.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$42.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $316.1
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $211.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.8
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.72
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.05
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.1
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.83
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.25
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.17
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.12
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.6% 503.33 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 350 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 64% 150 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 15% 53.65 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 29% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 29% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 22% 259.25 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 27% 259.26 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 300 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 13% 503.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?Yes 99.9% 105.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 51% 196.08 shares