Polymarket Trader

sdd44

0xf2ca14ab0671c107fa9d0b95a8f82f6aa5eab599

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.79
Realized PnL: $11.74
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $29.2
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.76
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $8.47
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

No position

Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.38

No position

TikTok sale announced before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Canada federal election in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will a Republican win Kentucky Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3.3% 30.3 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 29?

No 72% 1.39 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 29?

No 24% 4.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 69% 7.25 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will Putin visit China by May 31?

No 24% 12.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Yes 34% 2.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Yes 27% 3.43 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 5.56 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?

No 11.8% 8.47 shares
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 21?

Yes 67% 1.49 shares