Polymarket Trader

0xF2D2D116D80cC04862CF45D76B60Fdec4B34AAfD-1777985675071

0xf2d2d116d80cc04862cf45d76b60fdec4b34aafd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.33
Realized PnL: $133.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $283.86
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Haotong Li win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.44
Potential profit: $185.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the match not air?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $182.86
Potential profit: $182.4
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.66
Potential profit: $166.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.19
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.98

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: $4.29

Over position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Portugal 80% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Down 48.6% 41.12 shares
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 5.2% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Down 57% 20 shares
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 8.6% 11.63 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Down 50% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Up 7% 14.28 shares
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Portugal 45% 6.81 shares
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 1% 250 shares