Polymarket Trader

vondogbucks

0xf2d3358de7350f8d982602f12f9bfe3a0078cae7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.29
Realized PnL: $376.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $989.75
Potential profit: $985.29
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

M80 position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $224.12
Potential profit: $224.12
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $5.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $119.81
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$5.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $124
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.16
Potential profit: $108.16
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $104.56
Potential profit: $101.53
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $65.71
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $70.69
Potential profit: $65.32
Multiplier: 13.16x
User PnL: $3.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.11
Potential profit: $61.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.59
Potential profit: $60.59
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $49.02
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.44
Potential profit: $43.44
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.52
Potential profit: $36.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$1.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.44

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Up 50% 2 shares
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Yes 4.7% 21.28 shares
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Yes 4% 25.29 shares
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Yes 3.4% 58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 19% 5.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Up 21% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 58% 1.72 shares
Trump out as President by June 30?

Yes 0.6% 158 shares