Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $8.69
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$249.4
Polymarket Trader
418Imateapot
0xf2ddbbff7bc5193c5a17c9320886965b478482d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.92
- Realized PnL
- $2.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $393.4
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$118.98
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $37.53
- Potential payout
- $258.82
- Potential profit
- $221.29
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.9
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $185
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.93
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.47
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $179.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.6
Dan position
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $153.06
No position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.31
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.41
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.46
Yes position
Will "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.8
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.2
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.49
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.06
No position
S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $89.8
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.85
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $61.92
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.85
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.29
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.15
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.82
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 12% 59.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 12% 198.83 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4% 372 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 60 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?No 22% 60 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?No 8% 60 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 81% 60 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 99.8% 50 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 78% 50 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 10% 50 shares
- Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 3.4% 731.88 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes 33% 3.66 shares