Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$275.47
Polymarket Trader
0xF2E7D7fCCa0eaee6F1740402c1118F6f8C53843E-1762645663917
0xf2e7d7fcca0eaee6f1740402c1118f6f8c53843e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.62
- Realized PnL
- $1.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.09K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- User PnL
- -$69.24
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$63.04
Yes position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$33.16
Yes position
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $11.45
- Potential payout
- $3.27K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$20.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.4K
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 24?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$14.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $40.67
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- $40.67
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $999.94
- Potential profit
- $987.44
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $282.74
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.69
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.6
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.65
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $40.28
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $27.45
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $6.01
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will gas hit (Low) $4.20 by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 23% 29.1 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.2% 265.85 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.3% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.4% 49.19 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.5% 100 shares
- Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 3.5% 73.86 shares
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes 0.5% 43.45 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 1% 382.85 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 3% 245 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 244.72 shares
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 75 shares