No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.88K
- Potential profit
- $30.88K
- User PnL
- -$244.91
Polymarket Trader
wadada000
0xf2f8e29c0e5753d979bb4944fe838b7a8d739f7e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.06
- Realized PnL
- $145.36
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.5K
- Potential profit
- $14.5K
- User PnL
- -$29
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.48K
- Potential profit
- $13.48K
- User PnL
- -$99.49
Yes position
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.87K
- Potential profit
- $3.87K
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24K
- Potential profit
- $3.24K
- User PnL
- -$3.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or below on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $946.24
- Potential profit
- $946.24
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $702.38
- Potential profit
- $702.38
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $531.15
- Potential profit
- $531.15
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $31.42
- Potential payout
- $421.69
- Potential profit
- $390.27
- Multiplier
- 13.42x
- User PnL
- $12.64
Rico position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $401.79
- Potential profit
- $401.79
- User PnL
- -$28.41
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.53
- Potential profit
- $210.53
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.2
- Potential profit
- $198.2
- User PnL
- -$7
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $20.64
- Potential payout
- $180.26
- Potential profit
- $159.62
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
No position
Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.45
- Potential profit
- $147.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.5
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.86
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.72
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.03
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 13.7% 36.38 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 13.9% 143.88 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes 4.5% 421.69 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes 4% 50 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.3% 94.49 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 129.03 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.9% 66.66 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 66.67 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 322.58 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 333.33 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 2.3% 430.48 shares