Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $533.28
- Potential profit
- $533.28
- User PnL
- -$6.73
Polymarket Trader
crainandrew
0xf30803a387e4f6719e283150b5b7c809be8f3e6d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.23
- Realized PnL
- $175.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.54
- Potential profit
- $327.54
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $203.99
- Potential profit
- $188.69
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$66.3
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $74.46
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $27.54
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $4.59
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $14.47
- Potential payout
- $53.6
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.05
- Potential profit
- $42.05
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.39
- Potential profit
- $34.39
- User PnL
- -$15.82
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $26.67
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $23.53
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.58
- Potential profit
- $17.58
- User PnL
- -$11.87
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.84
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- User PnL
- -$11.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.02
- Potential profit
- $15.02
- User PnL
- -$7.72
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.57
- Potential profit
- $14.57
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $13.79
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.12
- Potential profit
- $12.12
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.12
- Potential profit
- $12.12
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $12.03
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.94
- Potential profit
- $11.94
- User PnL
- -$8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.77
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.59
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.63
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp 68% 5.63 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp 68% 5.56 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETUp 50% 7.14 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 63% 5.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 68% 5.88 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp 51% 6.67 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp 6% 62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETDown 64% 6.06 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETDown 41% 9.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETUp 71% 5.63 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown 2% 133.33 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETUp 24% 10 shares