Polymarket Trader

HardZix

@HardZix

0xf30a11553a20c3ee1fa7a7f17a7dd30721063583

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.13K
Realized PnL: $2.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $493.25
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $486.75
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $28.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $271.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $18.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $231.63
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $124
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $76
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $56.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $143.02
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $108
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $92
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $22.61

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $12.9
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $187.09
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$7.1

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $96.61
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.6

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $15.1

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $38.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $36.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.75
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $37.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $42.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $42.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $7.75
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $33.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.25
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$2.25

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $46.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $36.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $13.25
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $39.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $10.25
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $30.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $31.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.25
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.03

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.73

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.74

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.16

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.44

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118

No position

Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.4

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.47

Yes position

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.38

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.67

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.6

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Yes position

Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.99

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.8

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.4

Yes position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

No 85% 50 shares
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Yes 40% 50 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 7% 400 shares
Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ goals

Yes 36% 48.5 shares
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?

Yes 16% 50 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 45% 50 shares
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals

Yes 38% 50 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 13.5 Total Corners

Over 15% 50 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Over 31% 50 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 44% 11.93 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Over 30% 50 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Over 63% 50 shares