No position
Bezos divorce in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25.84
- Potential payout
- $25.84
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
betno-413
0xf30d092816ef4b40234218f34e0253ff291b0443
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.84
- Realized PnL
- -$1.69
- Win rate
- 36.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will New Hampshire be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Southampton wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
2024 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Minnesota be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Maine be the tipping point state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bezos divorce in 2025?No 96.2% 25.84 shares
- Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes 97.2% 24.86 shares
- Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?No 98.9% 24.16 shares
- Will someone else be inaugurated?No 99% 23.89 shares
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?No 99.6% 23.59 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?No 99.9% 23.59 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?No 99.4% 23.59 shares
- Israel military action against Iraq before November?Yes 98.4% 23.45 shares
- Southampton wins the Premier League?Yes 0.3% 7,000 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No 99.8% 10.55 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No 49.4% 25.39 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No 99.8% 10.55 shares